The Russian missile program “Oreșnik”, which has received extensive media coverage, could face serious technical malfunctions, causing missiles to miss their targets by tens of kilometers, writes Kyiv Post.
An analysis published on Tuesday by Dallas Analytics, a private Ukrainian information and data analysis firm, asserts that the Kremlin’s newest intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) may have major guidance system flaws, related to production blockages and the use of outdated components from the Soviet era.
Russia used “Oreșnik” in an attack on the city of Dnipro, in central Ukraine, in November 2024, presenting the missile as proof of Russia’s technological superiority and using it to intensify threats against Kiev’s Western allies.
ISW: Russia has only one Oreșnik missile left in its arsenal
According to the report, Putin ordered the production of four additional missiles in 2025, following the initial attack, but subsequent launches revealed major reliability issues.
From its first use, Russia has launched three more “Oreșnik” missiles at Ukraine.
One hit the Lviv region in western Ukraine in January, while another struck Bila Tserkva, south of Kiev, in May.
Subsequently, a second package of warheads disappeared over the Donetsk region, occupied by Russia.
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) noted in its latest assessment that Russia probably has only one operational “Oreșnik” missile left in its arsenal.
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