The collapse of the Ukrainian front and a peace agreement in which Russian aggression receives external legitimacy would turn Romania into a direct border state with the Russian Federation, with major effects on national security and the economy, and would expose NATO and EU vulnerabilities in defending their values. Foreign policy analysts George Scutaru and Cristian Diaconescu warned, exclusively on Antena 3 CNN, that unlike Poland or the Baltic states, Romania would be the first country to directly feel the consequences of a possible collapse of Ukraine, including a possible extension of Russian influence to the Black Sea and the Republic of Moldova.
The former presidential advisor, George Scutaru, expressed concern about possible pressures exerted by the American side on Kiev during peace negotiations, following promises of economic advantages from the Russian Federation.
“I believe there is still a risk that a possible end to the war could be achieved primarily through increased pressure on Ukraine, not on Russia. Because between the two sides, Ukraine’s degree of dependence on the United States and the support it indirectly provides is greater. (…) Trump wants this peace not only for the Nobel Prize, which may count for his ego, but especially because he wants to address afterwards these economic aspects primarily with the Russian Federation.
The risk is that the American side may be seduced by very attractive economic proposals from the Russian Federation. And think about it, the people who are on the negotiating team on both sides and a pragmatism sometimes taken to cynicism in the dialogue that may exist between Washington and Moscow,” Scutaru explained.
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