{"id":127635,"date":"2026-10-30T08:58:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T06:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/disinfo.md\/analysis-putins-nightmare-scenario-for-driving-nato-out-of-romania-general-balaceanu-explains-russias-real-plan\/"},"modified":"2026-10-30T10:58:37","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T08:58:37","slug":"analysis-putins-nightmare-scenario-for-driving-nato-out-of-romania-general-balaceanu-explains-russias-real-plan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/disinfo.md\/en\/analysis-putins-nightmare-scenario-for-driving-nato-out-of-romania-general-balaceanu-explains-russias-real-plan\/","title":{"rendered":"ANALYSIS \/\/ Putin\u2019s nightmare scenario for driving NATO out of Romania. General B\u0103l\u0103ceanu explains Russia\u2019s real plan"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Russia\u2019s demand for the withdrawal of allied military forces from countries that joined NATO after 1997 could be more than a security demand: it may be a means of extracting concessions over Ukraine. General Virgil B\u0103l\u0103ceanu examines the Kremlin\u2019s strategy for \u201cAdev\u0103rul\u201d and explains why Putin continues to make demands he knows the West will not accept in full.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ahead of negotiations on a peace agreement in Ukraine, Russia has reportedly revived an old tactic and put forward another sweeping demand: that NATO withdraw its military infrastructure to its pre-1997 positions\u2014before the successive waves of eastward expansion. <a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/rusia\/putin-cere-ca-nato-sa-se-retraga-la-granitele-din-2566534.html\">At least, that is what Britain\u2019s The Telegraph reports, in a story picked up by the Romanian press.<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Raising the demand for NATO to withdraw to its 1997 positions is a classic Kremlin tactic for raising the stakes, and it is reportedly being deployed again, this time ahead of peace talks in Abu Dhabi, shifting the focus from Ukrainian territory to Europe\u2019s entire security architecture. Russia has, in fact, made the same demand on several previous occasions, including in 2021, before launching its invasion of Ukraine. At the time, the Kremlin presented these demands as an ultimatum to NATO and the United States, but negotiations never took place.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Amid a flurry of diplomatic activity surrounding a new round of talks on the war in Ukraine planned for Abu Dhabi, the Kremlin is seeking to push the stakes far beyond its neighbour\u2019s borders. True to form, behind the scenes of the negotiations, Russia is making maximalist demands in the hope of securing sweeping concessions that would reshape the entire security architecture of Central and Eastern Europe.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Moscow\u2019s radical demands<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Retired Lieutenant General Virgil B\u0103l\u0103ceanu, Romania\u2019s former representative to NATO headquarters in Brussels and former commander of the South-Eastern Europe Multinational Brigade, offers his analysis of the situation for \u201cAdev\u0103rul\u201d. He points out that Russia is essentially demanding the withdrawal of Allied troops and the removal of Allied infrastructure and bases from countries that joined the Alliance after 1997.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analyzing this pressure strategy, the general explains that Moscow\u2019s real aim is to secure major concessions in Ukraine and sow as much discord as possible among the allies, paving the way for Russia to expand its influence in Europe.<\/p>\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u201cRussia would like to see the withdrawal of battlegroups and NATO commands from all the countries that joined the North Atlantic Alliance after 1997. That means 10 countries, including Romania. So, ultimately, NATO has a presence of one kind or another in these countries, including Albania and Montenegro. This would mean NATO would no longer have a military presence in Finland, even though its presence there is not yet substantial, or in Poland, the Baltic states, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Slovenia, Albania or Montenegro,\u201d<\/em> says General B\u0103l\u0103ceanu.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Still, such demands are better understood as classic bargaining tactics. General Virgil B\u0103l\u0103ceanu explains that the Kremlin is, in fact, putting maximalist demands on the table to impose a starting point for negotiations, allowing it to later make concessions in exchange for securing other territorial or military objectives in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More details <a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/securitate-si-aparare\/scenariul-negru-prin-care-putin-vrea-sa-alunge-2567008.html\">HERE<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Russia\u2019s demand for the withdrawal of allied military forces from countries that joined NATO after 1997 could be more than a security demand: it may be a means of extracting concessions over Ukraine. General Virgil B\u0103l\u0103ceanu examines the Kremlin\u2019s strategy for \u201cAdev\u0103rul\u201d and explains why Putin continues to make demands he knows the West will<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":65784,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1284],"tags":[7333,9487,8912,11367,21092,14962],"class_list":["post-127635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-analysis-en","tag-analysis","tag-general-en","tag-romania-en-2","tag-scenario","tag-virgil-balaceanu","tag-little"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ANALYSIS \/\/ Putin\u2019s nightmare scenario for driving NATO out of Romania. 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