{"id":95793,"date":"2025-10-29T09:58:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T07:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/disinfo.md\/the-war-that-never-ends-putin-retreats-into-his-own-fortress-while-ukraine-changes-the-rules-of-the-game\/"},"modified":"2025-10-29T09:58:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T07:58:00","slug":"the-war-that-never-ends-putin-retreats-into-his-own-fortress-while-ukraine-changes-the-rules-of-the-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/disinfo.md\/en\/the-war-that-never-ends-putin-retreats-into-his-own-fortress-while-ukraine-changes-the-rules-of-the-game\/","title":{"rendered":"The war that never ends. Putin retreats into his own fortress, while Ukraine changes the rules of the game"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>The Kremlin&#8217;s refusal of an armistice and the recent failure of the peace summit in Budapest outline an increasingly gloomy perspective: the war in Ukraine will continue for years to come, but in a different form than the world has known since 2022.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Vladimir Putin seems convinced that time is working in his favor. In his vision, Russia would slowly but surely exhaust Ukraine&#8217;s resources until societal collapse, and a potential &#8220;victory&#8221; would justify, in the eyes of his own people, the devastation he himself has caused, writes The Wall Street Journal.<\/p>\n<p>For Kiev, however, the moment does not resemble defeat at all. Volodymyr Zelensky would risk internal revolt if he accepted Moscow&#8217;s ultimatum: the surrender of key cities in Donbas in exchange for an armistice that would not last anyway.<\/p>\n<h2>When drones rewrite the map of war<\/h2>\n<p>After three years of fighting, the front line hardly advances anymore. Trench warfare has turned into a war of technologies. Drones &#8211; sometimes improvised, sometimes sophisticated &#8211; have become the new strategic weapons, capable of changing the balance of power without any soldier crossing the border.<\/p>\n<p>Kiev&#8217;s strategy has adapted: in the absence of territorial progress, Ukraine has begun to strike at the vital points of the Russian economy &#8211; refineries, fuel depots, energy infrastructure. The target is clear: to dry up the source that fuels the Kremlin&#8217;s war machine.<\/p>\n<p>Dozens of Russian refineries have already been destroyed or put out of operation, and the fuel shortage is increasingly acute. American and European sanctions are increasing the pressure.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><i>&#8220;Paradoxically, Ukraine&#8217;s strategy is a mirror of the Russian one,&#8221;<\/i> explains Ilia Ponomariov, a former Russian deputy who took refuge in Kiev. <i>&#8220;Each is trying to provoke the economic collapse of the other &#8211; Ukraine hoping to achieve diplomatically what it cannot win on the battlefield.&#8221;<\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>A war of attrition, with no end in sight<\/h2>\n<p>A former official from Kiev admits that the war could last for many years: &#8220;Both sides still have resources. Everything will end either with the collapse of the Russian imperial project or with the disappearance of an independent Ukraine.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Next January, the Russian invasion will have lasted longer than the entire USSR campaign against Nazi Germany. A bitter historical irony, considering that Putin presented his aggression as a &#8220;new Great Victory&#8221; against &#8220;Ukrainian Nazism&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>The reality, however, is different. Russian troops have stalled on the same front lines since 2022. In almost three years, Russia has only occupied an additional 1% of Ukrainian territory &#8211; at an estimated cost of one million dead or wounded soldiers.<\/p>\n<h2>Power that becomes vulnerability<\/h2>\n<p>What was once Russia&#8217;s strategic advantage &#8211; the vastness of its territory &#8211; has turned into a weakness. &#8220;In the time of the tsars, Russia won wars because it could absorb blows without collapsing,&#8221; says retired American general Ben Hodges. &#8220;Now, when Ukraine can strike thousands of kilometers away, that vastness has become a vulnerability.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The oil infrastructure, the backbone of the Russian budget, is increasingly exposed. Analyst Tamas Pletser, from Erste Group, estimates that there are 25-30 critical points in western Russia &#8211; refineries, pipeline nodes, export ports. <i>&#8220;If Ukraine manages to destroy them, Russia is finished,&#8221;<\/i> he says.<\/p>\n<p>But drones, as spectacular as they may be, have a limit. Kiev is also developing its own missile program. Zelensky is insistently asking the United States for Tomahawk missiles &#8211; so far without success. <i>&#8220;The further we can strike, the more willing Russia will be to end the war,&#8221;<\/i> he asserts.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/rusia\/razboiul-care-nu-se-mai-termina-putin-se-inchide-2482333.html\">HERE<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Kremlin&#8217;s refusal of an armistice and the recent failure of the peace summit in Budapest outline an increasingly gloomy perspective: the war in Ukraine will continue for years to come, but in a different form than the world has known since 2022. Vladimir Putin seems convinced that time is working in his favor. In<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":94491,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1284],"tags":[8923,9235,1208,1146,11573,10080,1203],"class_list":{"0":"post-95793","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analysis-en","8":"tag-drone-en","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-razboi-en","11":"tag-rusia-en","12":"tag-tactics","13":"tag-collapse","14":"tag-ucraina-en"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The war that never ends. 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