{"id":116546,"date":"2026-07-08T08:59:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T05:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/disinfo.md\/?p=116546"},"modified":"2026-07-08T00:19:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-07T21:19:18","slug":"v-pravitelstve-predupredili-chto-rossijskij-vpk-dostig-predela-svoih-vozmozhnostej","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/disinfo.md\/ru\/v-pravitelstve-predupredili-chto-rossijskij-vpk-dostig-predela-svoih-vozmozhnostej\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0412 \u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0443\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0438\u043b\u0438, \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0412\u041f\u041a \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0433 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0430 \u0441\u0432\u043e\u0438\u0445 \u0432\u043e\u0437\u043c\u043e\u0436\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0435\u0439"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0417\u0430 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0432\u043e\u0439\u043d\u044b \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f \u043a\u0440\u0430\u0442\u043d\u043e \u0443\u0432\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0438\u043b\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0432\u043e\u043e\u0440\u0443\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439, \u043d\u043e \u0442\u0435\u043f\u0435\u0440\u044c \u043e\u043d\u043e \u043f\u043e\u0447\u0442\u0438 \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0433\u043b\u043e \u0441\u0432\u043e\u0435\u0433\u043e \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0430. \u00ab\u041e\u041f\u041a \u043a\u0430\u043a \u043b\u043e\u043a\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0442\u0438\u0432 [\u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e] \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430 \u0441\u043a\u043e\u0440\u043e \u0432\u044b\u0439\u0434\u0435\u0442 \u043d\u0430 \u043c\u0430\u043a\u0441\u0438\u043c\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043e\u0431\u044a\u0435\u043c\u044b \u0438 \u0432\u044b\u0441\u043e\u043a\u0443\u044e \u0431\u0430\u0437\u0443 \u0438 \u043d\u0435 \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0435\u0442, \u043a\u0430\u043a \u0440\u0430\u043d\u0435\u0435, \u0434\u0430\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u0441\u0443\u0449\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u0443\u044e \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0431\u0430\u0432\u043a\u0443 \u0432 \u0442\u0435\u043c\u043f\u044b [\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430] &#171;\u043e\u0431\u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u043a\u0438&#187;\u00bb, \u2013&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.interfax.ru\/business\/1101675\">\u0437\u0430\u044f\u0432\u0438\u043b<\/a>&nbsp;\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0432\u0430 \u041c\u0438\u043d\u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0433\u0430 \u0410\u043d\u0442\u043e\u043d \u0410\u043b\u0438\u0445\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432 (\u0435\u0433\u043e \u0446\u0438\u0442\u0430\u0442\u044b \u043f\u043e \u00ab\u0418\u043d\u0442\u0435\u0440\u0444\u0430\u043a\u0441\u0443\u00bb).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u041e\u0431\u0440\u0430\u0431\u0430\u0442\u044b\u0432\u0430\u044e\u0449\u0430\u044f \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c, \u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0436\u0434\u0435 \u0432\u0441\u0435\u0433\u043e \u0412\u041f\u041a, \u0431\u044b\u043b\u0430 \u043e\u0434\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0438\u0437 \u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0435\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0439 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0432 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u044b \u0432\u043e\u0439\u043d\u044b. \u041a\u043e\u0433\u0434\u0430 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u043b\u043e \u044f\u0441\u043d\u043e, \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0432\u043e\u0439\u043d\u0430 \u0437\u0430\u0442\u044f\u0433\u0438\u0432\u0430\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f, \u0433\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u043d\u0430\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0438\u043b\u043e \u0432 \u0412\u041f\u041a \u043a\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0440\u0435\u0441\u0443\u0440\u0441\u044b. \u0412 2019\u20132021 \u0433\u0433. \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f \u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043b\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u00ab\u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0443\u044e \u043e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043d\u0443\u00bb 3\u20133,6 \u0442\u0440\u043b\u043d \u0440\u0443\u0431., \u0432 \u044d\u0442\u043e\u043c \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443 \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044b&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbc.ru\/economics\/30\/12\/2025\/6953b1fa9a79475eaa15e5ef?utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fyandex.ru%2F\">\u0437\u0430\u043f\u043b\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u044b<\/a>&nbsp;12,1 \u0442\u0440\u043b\u043d, \u043d\u043e, \u0432\u0435\u0440\u043e\u044f\u0442\u043d\u043e, \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0443\u0442 \u0443\u0432\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u043d\u044b: \u043c\u0438\u043d\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0440 \u0444\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043e\u0432 \u0410\u043d\u0442\u043e\u043d \u0421\u0438\u043b\u0443\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0443\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0438\u043b, \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044b \u0438 \u0434\u0435\u0444\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0442 \u0431\u044e\u0434\u0436\u0435\u0442\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0432\u044b\u0441\u044f\u0442 \u043f\u043b\u0430\u043d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0427\u0442\u043e\u0431\u044b \u0432\u044b\u043f\u043e\u043b\u043d\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0432 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u044b \u0432\u044b\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0448\u0438\u0439 \u0433\u043e\u0441\u0437\u0430\u043a\u0430\u0437, \u043e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043d\u043d\u0430\u044f \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c, \u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0430\u044f \u0432 \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043d\u043e\u043c \u0441\u043e\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0438\u0442 \u0438\u0437 \u0433\u043e\u0441\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043f\u0440\u0438\u044f\u0442\u0438\u0439, \u043f\u043e\u0448\u043b\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u0440\u0435\u0437\u043a\u043e\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0437\u0430\u0440\u043f\u043b\u0430\u0442, \u0437\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0432 \u0434\u0440\u0443\u0433\u0438\u0445 \u0432\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0438\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0432 \u0437\u0430\u0440\u043f\u043b\u0430\u0442\u043d\u0443\u044e \u0433\u043e\u043d\u043a\u0443,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/istories.media\/opinions\/2024\/04\/22\/nado-vklyuchat-rezhim-prorvemsya-kak-biznes-prinyal-voinu\/\">\u043e\u0442\u043c\u0435\u0447\u0430\u043b<\/a>&nbsp;\u043f\u0440\u0438\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c \u0426\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0430 \u0414\u044d\u0432\u0438\u0441\u0430 \u0410\u043d\u0434\u0440\u0435\u0439 \u042f\u043a\u043e\u0432\u043b\u0435\u0432.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0412 \u0440\u0435\u0437\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0435 \u0442\u0440\u0438 \u0433\u043b\u0430\u0432\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043e\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0441\u043b\u0438 \u043a\u0443\u0434\u0430 \u0432\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0430\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0443\u043a\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0412\u041f\u041a, \u2013 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u00ab\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0447\u0438\u0445 \u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0441\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432 \u0438 \u043e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f\u00bb, \u00ab\u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u044c\u044e\u0442\u0435\u0440\u043d\u044b\u0445, \u044d\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0440\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0438 \u043e\u043f\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0438\u0437\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0439\u00bb \u0438 \u00ab\u0433\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u0430\u043b\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0438\u0437\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0439\u00bb \u2013 \u0437\u0430 2023-2025 \u0433\u0433. \u0443\u0434\u0432\u043e\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0432\u044b\u043f\u0443\u0441\u043a (\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442 \u0432 1,9-2,1 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0430, \u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u0443\u0435\u0442 \u0438\u0437 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0430).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u041f\u043e\u043a\u0430 \u043e\u043d\u043e \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043e\u043b\u0436\u0430\u0435\u0442 \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0438, \u043d\u043e \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442 \u0437\u0430\u043c\u0435\u0434\u043b\u044f\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f. \u041f\u043e&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rosstat.gov.ru\/storage\/mediabank\/osn-05-2026.pdf\">\u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u043c<\/a>&nbsp;\u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0430, \u0437\u0430 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0432\u044b\u0435 \u043f\u044f\u0442\u044c \u043c\u0435\u0441\u044f\u0446\u0435\u0432 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0447\u0438\u0445 \u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0441\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0437\u0432\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043d\u043e \u043d\u0430 23,3% \u0431\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0435, \u0447\u0435\u043c \u0432 \u044f\u043d\u0432\u0430\u0440\u0435-\u043c\u0430\u0435 2025-\u0433\u043e, \u0433\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u0430\u043b\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0438\u0437\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0439 \u2013 \u043d\u0430 12,6%, \u0430 \u044d\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0440\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0438 \u043e\u043f\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0438\u0437\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0439 \u2013 \u0432\u0441\u0435\u0433\u043e \u043d\u0430 2,1%. \u0412 \u043e\u0442\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043c\u0435\u0441\u044f\u0446\u044b \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rosstat.gov.ru\/storage\/mediabank\/162_22-10-2025.html\">\u0444\u0438\u043a\u0441\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043b<\/a>&nbsp;\u0441\u043e\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0449\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0432\u044b\u043f\u0443\u0441\u043a\u0430 \u0432 \u043d\u0435\u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b\u0445 \u0432\u043e\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043e\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0441\u043b\u044f\u0445 \u0432 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432\u043e\u043c \u0432\u044b\u0440\u0430\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0438.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0412\u041f\u041a, \u043d\u0435\u0441\u043c\u043e\u0442\u0440\u044f \u043d\u0430 \u043e\u0433\u0440\u043e\u043c\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0432\u043b\u0438\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f, \u0434\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0430\u0434\u0438\u0440\u0443\u0435\u0442 \u2013 \u043a \u0442\u0430\u043a\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u0432\u044b\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0443&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.chathamhouse.org\/2025\/07\/russias-struggle-modernize-its-military-industry\/identifying-weaknesses-russias-military\">\u043f\u0440\u0438\u0448\u043b\u0438<\/a>&nbsp;\u0433\u043e\u0434 \u043d\u0430\u0437\u0430\u0434 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u0438 Chatham&nbsp;House. \u0421\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043f\u043e-\u043d\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e\u044f\u0449\u0435\u043c\u0443 \u043d\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0435, \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0432\u0438\u043d\u0443\u0442\u044b\u0435 \u0441\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0435\u043c\u044b \u043d\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0430\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f: \u0438\u043c\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u043e\u0437\u0430\u043c\u0435\u0449\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0438\u043b\u043e\u0441\u044c, \u0437\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0441\u0438\u043c\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c \u043e\u0442 \u0432\u043d\u0435\u0448\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u0449\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0432 \u0432\u044b\u0441\u043e\u043a\u0430, \u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0438\u0442\u0441\u044f \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0430\u0433\u0430\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u043d\u0430 \u0441\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u0438\u0435, \u043e\u0442\u043c\u0435\u0447\u0430\u043b\u0438 \u043e\u043d\u0438, \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0430\u0433\u0430\u044f, \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0432 \u0431\u043b\u0438\u0436\u0430\u0439\u0448\u0438\u0435 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u044b \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0434\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0443\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0438 \u0437\u0430\u043c\u0435\u0434\u043b\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0432\u043e\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e, \u0430 \u0442\u0430\u043a\u0436\u0435 \u043c\u0438\u0440\u0438\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0441 \u0443\u0445\u0443\u0434\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435\u043c \u043a\u0430\u0447\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0443\u043a\u0446\u0438\u0438.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0417\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0430\u043c\u0438 \u0412\u041f\u041a \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0443\u0436\u0435 \u0434\u0430\u0432\u043d\u043e \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0433\u043d\u0438\u0440\u0443\u0435\u0442 \u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0441\u043e\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0449\u0430\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0437\u0430 \u0440\u0435\u0434\u043a\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u0438\u0441\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f\u043c\u0438 \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0435 \u0444\u0430\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0446\u0435\u0432\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0439 \u043e\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0441\u043b\u0438. \u0411\u043b\u0438\u0437\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043a \u0432\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0442\u044f\u043c \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0446\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440 \u0426\u041c\u0410\u041a\u041f \u043e\u0442\u043c\u0435\u0447\u0430\u043b, \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0431\u0435\u0437 \u0443\u0447\u0435\u0442\u0430 \u0441\u0435\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432 \u0441\u043e \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0438\u043c\u044b\u043c \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0443\u0442\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0438\u0435\u043c \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432 \u041e\u041f\u041a \u0432 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u0441 \u0441\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0438\u043d\u044b 2023 \u0433.&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forecast.ru\/_ARCHIVE\/Presentations\/Salnikov\/ExpSov2024.pdf\">\u00ab\u043e\u043a\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0433\u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u044f\u00bb<\/a>, \u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0430\u044f \u0441\u043e \u0432\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0438\u043d\u044b 2024 \u0433. \u0441\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u043b\u0430\u0441\u044c&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forecast.ru\/_ARCHIVE\/Mon_MK\/2026\/macro68.pdf\">\u0441\u043f\u0430\u0434\u043e\u043c<\/a>. \u00ab\u0412 \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u043c\u0430\u0441\u0441\u0435 \u0433\u0440\u0430\u0436\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0441\u0435\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u2013 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0433\u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u044f (\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0441\u043f\u0430\u0434)\u00bb, \u2013 \u044d\u0442\u0430 \u0444\u0440\u0430\u0437\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0443\u0442\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0443\u0435\u0442 \u0432 \u043f\u0440\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438 \u0432 \u043a\u0430\u0436\u0434\u043e\u043c \u0434\u043e\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434\u0435 \u0446\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0430.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0418\u041d\u041f \u0420\u0410\u041d \u0442\u0430\u043a\u0436\u0435&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ecfor.ru\/publication\/kvartalnyj-prognoz-vvp-vypusk-69\/\">\u043e\u0442\u043c\u0435\u0447\u0430\u043b<\/a>&nbsp;\u0440\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0443\u0449\u0438\u0439 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u044b\u0432\u0430 \u0432 \u0434\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0435 \u0433\u0440\u0430\u0436\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0438 \u043e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0441\u0435\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0438: \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u0432 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0448\u043b\u043e\u043c \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443 (1,3%) \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0441\u044f \u043b\u0438\u0448\u044c \u0432 \u0447\u0435\u0442\u044b\u0440\u0435\u0445 \u0432\u0438\u0434\u0430\u0445 \u0434\u0435\u044f\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438: \u0444\u0430\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0446\u0435\u0432\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0435 \u0438 \u0442\u0440\u0435\u0445 \u00ab\u0432\u043e\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445\u00bb \u043e\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0441\u043b\u044f\u0445. \u041f\u043e \u0438\u0442\u043e\u0433\u0430\u043c \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043a\u0432\u0430\u0440\u0442\u0430\u043b\u0430 2026 \u0433. \u0418\u041d\u041f&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ecfor.ru\/publication\/kratkosrochnyj-analiz-dinamiki-vvp-maj-2026\/\">\u043e\u0431\u043d\u0430\u0440\u0443\u0436\u0438\u043b<\/a>&nbsp;\u0432\u0441\u0435\u0433\u043e \u0434\u0432\u0430 \u0431\u044b\u0441\u0442\u0440\u043e\u0440\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0443\u0449\u0438\u0445 \u0432\u0438\u0434\u0430 \u0434\u0435\u044f\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438: \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0447\u0438\u0445 \u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0441\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432 \u0438 \u043e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0438 \u043b\u0435\u043a\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432, \u0430 \u0432 19 \u0432\u0438\u0434\u0430\u0445 \u0432\u044b\u043f\u0443\u0441\u043a \u0431\u044b\u043b \u043c\u0435\u043d\u044c\u0448\u0435, \u0447\u0435\u043c \u0432 \u044f\u043d\u0432\u0430\u0440\u0435-\u043c\u0430\u0440\u0442\u0435 2025 \u0433.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0412\u044b\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0430\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0438 \u0434\u0440\u0443\u0433\u043e\u0439 \u0434\u0440\u0430\u0439\u0432\u0435\u0440 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430 \u0434\u0432\u0443\u0445 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043b\u0435\u0442 \u2013 \u0438\u043c\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u043e\u0437\u0430\u043c\u0435\u0449\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0438 \u043e\u0441\u0432\u043e\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u043d\u0438\u0448, \u043e\u0441\u0432\u043e\u0431\u043e\u0436\u0434\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0443\u0448\u0435\u0434\u0448\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u0438\u0437 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438 \u0437\u0430\u043f\u0430\u0434\u043d\u044b\u043c\u0438 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f\u043c\u0438, \u043e\u0442\u043c\u0435\u0442\u0438\u043b \u0410\u043b\u0438\u0445\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432: \u00ab\u041c\u044b \u0443\u0436\u0435 \u0438\u0441\u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0438 \u0432 \u0438\u043d\u0442\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0430\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u0447\u0430\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0438\u043c\u043f\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0441\u0430 \u043e\u0442 \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0441\u0430\u043d\u043a\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0442\u0430 \u0438 \u0443\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u0441 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043a\u0430 \u0438\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0439\u00bb. \u0412 \u0440\u0435\u0437\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442 \u043f\u0440\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438 \u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0438\u043b\u0441\u044f: \u043f\u043e \u0438\u0442\u043e\u0433\u0430\u043c \u043f\u044f\u0442\u0438 \u043c\u0435\u0441\u044f\u0446\u0435\u0432 \u043e\u043d \u0441\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u0438\u043b \u0432\u0441\u0435\u0433\u043e 0,4%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0418\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.themoscowtimes.com\/2026\/07\/07\/v-pravitelstve-predupredili-chto-rossiiskii-vpk-dostig-predela-svoih-vozmozhnostei-a200179\" type=\"link\" id=\"https:\/\/ru.themoscowtimes.com\/2026\/07\/07\/v-pravitelstve-predupredili-chto-rossiiskii-vpk-dostig-predela-svoih-vozmozhnostei-a200179\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">themoscowtimes.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0417\u0430 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0432\u043e\u0439\u043d\u044b \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f \u043a\u0440\u0430\u0442\u043d\u043e \u0443\u0432\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0438\u043b\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0432\u043e\u043e\u0440\u0443\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439, \u043d\u043e \u0442\u0435\u043f\u0435\u0440\u044c \u043e\u043d\u043e \u043f\u043e\u0447\u0442\u0438 \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0433\u043b\u043e \u0441\u0432\u043e\u0435\u0433\u043e \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0430. \u00ab\u041e\u041f\u041a \u043a\u0430\u043a \u043b\u043e\u043a\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0442\u0438\u0432 [\u043f\u0440\u043e\u043c\u044b\u0448\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e] \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430 \u0441\u043a\u043e\u0440\u043e \u0432\u044b\u0439\u0434\u0435\u0442 \u043d\u0430 \u043c\u0430\u043a\u0441\u0438\u043c\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043e\u0431\u044a\u0435\u043c\u044b \u0438 \u0432\u044b\u0441\u043e\u043a\u0443\u044e \u0431\u0430\u0437\u0443 \u0438 \u043d\u0435 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