SIMULATION Scenario 2028: The Russians attack Moldova. A drone kills civilians in Romania, and the USA does not activate NATO’s Article 54 September 2026
The three states where war insurance sales have begun. They include damages caused by drones, but there are exceptions4 September 2026
Analysis “Moscow will threaten, but not escalate, the conflict with the West.” The red lines are of form. IRL shows what the arguments are13 September 2024 Moscow is unlikely to escalate the conflict with the West in the near future, even if the latter makes decisions…
Analysis POLITICO: Putin withdrew some units from Ukraine to defend Russia from Ukrainian incursion into Kursk region15 August 2024 European publication POLITICO reports that Russia has withdrawn some troops from southern Ukraine and returned to its own territory to…
Analysis The Russian Federation is behind the biggest fakes about the Paris Olympics. Why was this necessary?5 August 2024 In June, a month before the official opening of the Paris Olympics, Russia launched a massive disinformation campaign against the…
